Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Forex Mistakes
6 Common Errors That Destroy Equity


Here are 6 common forex mistakes that if you made, will ensure an equity wipe out. 95% of forex traders lose and most make these common errors, so if you want to learn forex trading correctly avoid them at all costs.

1. Not Having Confidence :-

An obvious one - if you don't have confidence in what you are doing you won't have the discipline to execute your trading plan. Most traders never get confidence in what their doing, as they never learn the right education and trust a guru, e-book or news story. If you want to win, you must fully understand what you're doing and why it works - so you have the confidence and discipline to trade your method.

2. Believing Simulations :-

How many traders buy a mechanical forex trading system off the web with a simulated track record and expect it to make them money?

The bulk of novice forex traders fall for this but of course, a simulation done in hindsight, knowing the closing prices is easy - but trading not knowing them is the hard part!

All simulated track records make money in hindsight and 99% lose in real time trading. Most are simply made up by vendors and combined with some copy to appeal to the greedy na ve investor who buys the system and gets a wipe out in the market.

3. Predicting Forex Prices :-

If you try and predict forex prices in advance you're going to lose, as it's really another word for hoping and guessing. Never predict what might happen, trade the reality of what is happening on your forex charts.

Predictions in forex will be as accurate as your horoscope and forget anyone who tells you they have a scientific theory of market movement - They don't. If such a theory did exist, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market - Period.

4. Using Invalid Data :-

How many novice traders try forex day trading? The majority.

How many lose? ALL of them.

Day trading is simply a way to wipe out equity quickly.

All short term volatility is random and you cannot get the odds on your side so you will lose. If you want to trade successfully trade valid data and trade longer term.

5. Trading The News :-

If you could get rich listening to the news then a lot more traders would make money - but you can't.

News is discounted instantly and furthermore reflects the greed and fear of the majority, who always lose. News stories are simply opinions and you won't make money trading them.

6. Trying To Be To Clever :-

On the one hand there are forex traders who don't do enough work and on the other hand, there are traders who think they can make money being clever or working hard - neither however will ensure your currency trading success.

In forex trading you get paid for being right with your forex trading signal and not for how clever you are, or how much effort you put in.

The fact is the best forex trading systems are simple and they always work better than complicated ones, as they are more robust and have fewer elements to break.

FINALLY YOU MUST KNOW THIS!

If YOU ARE trading the major error most traders make is NOT Knowing their trading edge. A trading edge is the reason you should succeed at forex trading when 95% of traders fail.

It doesn't matter what your trading edge is but you must clearly define it and have confidence in it to lead you to currency trading success. So if you don't know what your trading edge is - its back to your forex education until you do.
Money Market Advantages Amidst Volatility

Foreign Exchange Market (FOREX) is the arena where a nation s currency is exchanged for that of another at a mutually agreed rate. All currencies are traded in pairs, and each is assigned with an abbreviation. (E.g: USD = United States Dollar, GBP = Great British Pound). Exchange rate fluctuations are usually caused by actual monetary flows as well as anticipations on global economic situations. Profits and losses are dependent on the fluctuations in the exchange rate between the two currencies.

In today s volatile money market environment the traditional forms of investing are rightfully inviting more scrutiny and caution. The New Year has brought with it an impending sense of tough times to come. The FTSE 100 dropped below 6000 points for the first time in almost two years, a performance that was mirrored by Dow Jones, Hang Seng and other major indices around the world. Now more than ever investors are focusing on alternative avenues to channel those hard earned funds.


Advantages of Trading Forex :

It may be difficult to imagine that there is market that is not only growing, but is also renowned for its flexibility and liquidity. Forex is flexible in the sense that it has no central trading location or exchange with traders, sellers and buyers in the traditional sense; most of the trading is conducted via a global ETS (electronic trading system) that operate 24hrs a day. Concurrently, liquidity is a powerful attraction to any investor as it suggests the freedom to enter or exit the market at anytime. These advantages subsequently enable investors to respond to any new adverse or positive information immediately. A luxury not afforded by the more traditional forms of risk.

Also, in forex trading, a small margin deposit can control a much larger total forex contract value. This obviously gives investors the ability to make extraordinary profits with relatively minimal risk. Unlike with other forms of risk where numerous factors affect the unit prices, (a good example of course is the recent sub-prime crisis in the US) the chief aim and focus of any good forex investor is to manage as best as possible the varying risks associated with fluctuations in worldwide currencies. With the current trepidation that characterises traditional forms of investments, it is no surprise that there has been a big growth in regulated firms that offer forex investment contracts to cunning individual investors.

It must be said however that a good understanding of the relationship between freely transferable currencies is required in order to dabble into this exciting arena. The concept really is quite simple. Currency exchange rates fluctuate, investors who trade in the forex market hope to profit from those fluctuations. Investors should always be aware though that as with any other form of investment, investors who consult with a financial adviser limit their exposure to excessive fluctuations. A general rule of all investment tools that carry a degree of risk is that investors should input funds that they can generally afford to lose without affecting their finances adversely. Risk capital should be seen as disposable income for any discerning investor

Forex News - Trading It For Bigger Profits

Forex News - Trading It For Bigger Profits

Today, we have more news than ever and its delivered in the click of a mouse and many traders want to trade it and make profits - after all it's the fundamental supply and demand situation that drives forex prices.

No it isn't!

Supply and demand fundamentals are not important by themselves - it's how they are perceived that determines price.

Here is a simple equation for market movement to illustrate the above:

Supply and Demand (facts and news) + Investor Perception = Price

From the above you can see that it is investors who determine price.

We all have the same facts to look at but we don't all draw the same conclusions from what we see and this is the problem when trading news stories.

If you could win by trading the news, with today's quality of it and lightening communications, the percentage of traders who would win would be far greater but the fact is:

The same amount of people who lost in forex trading 50 years ago lose today and this statistic won't change because you can't trade news stories in isolation.

The problems with trading news stories are greater today than they have ever been.

Why?

Because we all get the information quickly and it's instantly discounted by the market, we all have the information at the same time in any corner of the globe online and no one has an advantage of getting it first before the herd.

The problem that is always present and has been since markets started trading is:

You don't know how the traders are going to view the news because their all driven by their individual motivations and emotions furthermore, the news always reflects the views of the crowd and the crowd is always wrong.

Will Rogers once said:

"I only believe what I read in the papers"

He was joking of course, but it's surprising how many people read a paper or see a view on CNBC and think they can trade it and win - they can't.

FACT:

Markets collapse and turn when they are most bullish and rally when they are most bearish - this is nothing to do with the facts but how the investors perceive them.

News stories can be used but it's not in the way you may think.

If a bullish piece of news fails to push market higher, or bearish news fails to push a market lower, then you may have a trend change at hand.

You need to check and to do this, look at a forex chart and see the technical view of price only. Here you are seeing the reality or the truth in black and white.

This gives you a detached non emotional view of price and you can decide which way to trade. Using the news in this contrary fashion is a great way to spot situations which you can time entry with your technical indicators.

There is an old saying:

" If you can hold your head, when everyone around you is losing theirs you probably haven't heard the news"

In the above instance you have - but you're not taking the view of the majority.